Yes, India can still get eliminated from the Super Eight and may not reach the Semi-final despite having 2 wins in 2 matches.
Are you thinking How can India get Eliminated from the Super Eight despite 2 wins? in the first 2 matches However this is a T20 World Cup game and it does not take too long to completely change the table.
Currently, India is in a very comfortable position at No. 1 in Group B of the Super Eight stage. Australia, Afghanistan, and Bangladesh are at No. 2, 3 and 4th position respectively.
India is yet to play the last match of the Super Eight against their arch-rival Australia which will be played on June 24 at Beausejour stadium.
Click here to see: How Australia can Qualify for the Semi-Finals
Afghanistan will face Bangladesh in their last match of the Super Eight stage and if Australia defeats India and Bangladesh gets defeated by Afghanistan then India, Australia, and Afghanistan will be at 4 points each respectively.
When the Points get equal qualification scenario will come to the net run rate and the top two teams with a good net run rate will qualify for the semi-final stage.
Here’s How can India get Eliminated from the Super Stage despite 2 wins.
Australia Defeats India by 41 Runs
Stats of Australia
- Total runs scored: 277 runs in 31.2 overs
- Totals runs conceded: 220 runs in 31.2 overs
- The current net run rate (NRR) of Australia is +0.223.
Stats of India
- Total runs scored: 377 runs in 40 overs
- Total runs conceded: 280 runs in 40 overs
- The current net run rate (NRR) of India is +2.425.
If Australia defeats India by 41 runs then Australia will have a greater run rate than that of India and Australia will be at No 1 position with a healthy run rate.
When India gets defeated the net run rate of Australia will also decrease accordingly.
For example: Let’s take an example suppose Australia scored 200 runs while batting first India managed to score only 159 runs suffering 41 runs loss or more then this will be the net run rate calculations.
Net Run Rate calculation of India and Australia, if Australia defeats India by 41 runs. Let’s suppose the total posted by Australia was only 200 and India managed only 159 runs resulting in 41 runs victory for Australia.
| India | Australia |
|---|---|
| = [(377 +159) / 60 ] – [(280 +200) / 60] = (536/ 60) – (480/60) = 8.93 – 8.00 = (+0.930) NRR | = [(227+200) / 51.33] – [(220+159) / 51.33] = (427/51.33)- (379/. 51.33) = 8.32- 7.38 = (+0.938) NRR |
The Net Run Rate of India will be +0.930 while the Net Run Rate of Australia will be +0.938 hence India will be at No 2 and Australia at No 1.
Afghanistan defeated Bangladesh by 81 runs
After India slipped to 2nd place with a significant decrease in net run rate to 0.930, Afghanistan winning the game with a margin of 81 runs can move India to 3rd place and Afghanistan to 2nd place due to a healthy run rate than India.
If Afghanistan moves to second place India will ultimately get eliminated from the Super Eight Stage and Australia and Afghanistan will advance to the Semi-Final.
Stats of Afghanistan
- Total runs scored: 282 runs in 40 overs
- Total runs conceded: 308 runs in 40 overs
- The current net run rate (NRR) of India is -0.650.
Stats of Bangladesh
- Total runs scored: 218 runs in 31.2 overs
- Total runs conceded: 296 runs in 31.2 overs
- The current net run rate (NRR) of India is -2.489
Let’s take an example if Afghanistan scored 200 and restricted Bangladesh to just 118 runs then the Net Calculation will be accordingly…
| Afghanistan | Bangladesh |
|---|---|
| = [(282 +200) / 60 ] – [(308 +118) / 60] = (482/ 60) – (426/60) = 8.033 – 7.100 = (+0.933) NRR | = [(218+118) / 51.33] – [(296+200) / 51.33] = (338/51.33)- (496/. 51.33) = 6.565- 9.662 = (- 3.097) NRR |
The 82-run victory of Afghanistan over Bangladesh will promote Afghanistan’s net run rate from -0.650 to +0.933 which is greater than India’s 0.930.
The Points table will look like this if these 2 conditions are met.
| S.N | Teams | Matches | Win | Loss | Points | Net Run Rate | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Australia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +0.938 | Qualified for Semi-Final |
| 2. | Afghanistan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +0.933 | Qualified for Semi-Final |
| 3. | India | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +0.930 | Elimination |
| 4. | Bangladesh | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3.097 | Elimination |
The prediction here is only the analysis of what the game could be and does not guarantee the results of the game.
What’s your opinion on the Possibility of India getting knocked out from the Super stage? Can Afghanistan and Australia make it? Comments below…