How Can Australia Qualify for the Semi-Finals?

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How Can Australia Qualify for the Semi-Finals?
Image Credit: Cricket Australia

The Seven Times World Cup Champions Australia are today on the verge of knockout from the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup’s Super Eight stages.

However, Qualification to the Semi-Finals is still possible for Australia but have to rely on other teams’ performance for the qualification. 

Before we move to how can Australia qualify for the Semi-finals? let’s understand their stats and the condition of Australia in the game first.

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Australia was placed in Group B with England, Scotland, Namibia and Oman. Australia successfully qualified for the Super Eight undefeated winning 4 out of 4 matches. However, England also qualified for the Super Eight from Group B with 5 points securing 2nd place in the points table.

Australia was pre-allotted the position B2 and was placed in Group B along with India Australia and Bangladesh in the Super Eight stage. 

Australia played their first match of the Super Eight against Bangladesh and defeated Bangladesh by 28 runs via DLS Method.

They played their second match against Afghanistan on June 23 and were defeated as Afghanistan made their historic victory over the World Champions by 21 runs. 

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Batting first Afghanistan posted a total of 148 runs losing 6 wickets in 20 over, despite having more than 100 run partnerships of the opening pair. The middle-order collapse restricted Afghanistan to just 148 runs. 

The Australians were expected to chase the below-par target easily but Australia suffered completely and collapsed under the brilliant bowling of Gulbadin Naib, Naveen-ul-Haq, and Rashid Khan. 

As a result, Australia got bundled up for just 127 runs and lost the game by 21 runs and are on the verge of elimination as they are yet to face their arch-rival India in the Do or Die situation.

Currently, India is undefeated at No. 1 with 4 points in the Super Eight and a healthy run rate of above 2. Australia is at No. 2 with 1 win(2 points)and a positive run rate of +0.223 and Afghanistan is at No. 3 with 1 win (2 points) and a negative run rate of -0.650 while Bangladesh is at the bottom of the table with 0 Points.

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Teams MatchesWinLossPoints Net Run rate Next match
India2204+2.425vs Australia
Australia2112+2.223vs India
Afghanistan2112-0.650vs Bangladesh
Bangladesh2020-2.489vs Afghanistan
Points Table after Afghanistan vs Australia

Australia will face India in their last game of the Super Eight on June 24 at Beausejour Stadium in the Do or Die situations. There are 2 different scenarios for Australia to qualify for the Semi-Finals lets go with the first one. 

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If Australia Beat India

If Australia defeats India in their last Super Eight game of the Super Eight stage Australia will have 4 points and a healthy run rate while Afghanistan needs to lose the game against Bangladesh that is the simple way of Australia’s qualification scenario.

If Australia got Defeated by India 

In the second scenario, If Australia gets defeated by India their chance of qualification will drastically decrease however, losing by a small margin against India will still assist Australia to qualify.

There will be still a chance for Australia if Bangladesh defeats Afghanistan by a small margin then all three teams Australia, Afghanistan, and Bangladesh will end up with only 2 points. 

Bangladesh has a huge negative run rate of above -2 which looks tough to recover and needs victory with very very high margins.

All three teams are at 2 points but Australia will qualify for the Semi-Finals by their healthy run rate. 

Here’s a look at the points table if all the above conditions are met.

Teams MatchesWinLossPoints Net Run rate
India3304+Positive/Healthy run rate
Australia3122Healthy run rate
Afghanistan3122Negative run rate
Bangladesh3122Negative run rate
Points Table after the end of all games of Super Eight

Above all are only the prediction of the game from an analyst’s perspective and do not guarantee the results of the match.

What’s your point on this? Who will win in Aus vs Ind? Will Australia qualify for the playoffs or it will be Afghanistan to qualify for the Semi-Finals? Comments Below…

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